NFL WEEKLY PICK 'EM: WEEK 3

September 22, 2016

We break the lines for each game for Week 3 of the 2016 NFL season below and offer our predictions.

 

HOUSTON (-1.5) at NEW ENGLAND

It's so hard to pick against Bill Belichick and New England, especially when they are playing at home where they virtually never lose. The Texans are almost at a slight disadvantage this week going up against Jacoby Brissett because of the lack of film that's available on him, and I expect Belichick to fully use that to his advantage and get weird. Regardless, the Texans defense is too talented not to stunt on Brissett, and opposing rookie QBs are 3-11 against the Texans defense since drafting JJ Watt.

 

TEXANS 24 PATRIOTS 17

 

ARIZONA (-4.5) at BUFFALO

Arizona won big over Tampa Bay last week and I would expect them to continue their momentum against a bad Bills team who will be debuting a new Offensive Coordinator this week in Anthony Lynn. If the Cards take a lead early, it will be interesting to see the body language of the Bills players to try and ascertain if this team is quitting on Rex.

 

CARDINALS 35 BILLS 18

 

OAKLAND (+1.5) at TENNESSEE

The Titans got really lucky to win against Detroit last week thanks to some questionable officiating (I'm still trying to find the OPI on the Eric Ebron TD that got called back). The Raiders are a much more talented team and should be able to take care of business despite the game being in Nashville. I expect the Raiders outstanding offensive line to keep Jurell Casey in check this game while Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree go ham on some pretty mediocre CBs in Perrish Cox and Jason McCourty.

 

RAIDERS 27 TITANS 21

 

CLEVELAND (+10) at MIAMI

Despite starting the season 0-2, the Dolphins have not looked bad and I was impressed with how they rallied and fought back after starting off down 21-0 against New England last week. Adam Gase looks to be the best thing that ever happened to Ryan Tannehill since marrying Lauren and I just can't foresee this team starting off the season going 0-3 against a Browns team that must have built their stadium over an Indian burial ground. What's the name of Cleveland's baseball team again?

 

BROWNS 9 DOLPHINS 25

 

BALTIMORE (-1) at JACKSONVILLE

Thanks for making me look like an asshole last week, Jacksonville. You are a bad team and should feel bad. Don't think for a second that John Harbaugh hasn't been showing the Ravens players replays of last year's facemask-a-palooza that cost them a late win courtesy of Elvis Dumervil. The only other thing Jaguars fans will be catching this Sunday besides another L is some Pokemon.

 

RAVENS 31 JAGUARS 27

 

DETROIT (+8) at GREEN BAY

Although I do think the Lions lose this game in Green Bay, I think they end up covering. I am a big fan of Matt Stafford in this Jim Bob Cooter offense and this game will deviate from normal low-scoring NFC North clashes and exceed the 60 point mark. Rodgers seemed to be mad offline this week when talking to the media and I can see him having another R-E-L-A-X performance.

 

LIONS 31 PACKERS 35

 

DENVER (EVEN) at CINCINNATI

This game is sexy and I am upset that it is not the match up for Sunday Night Football. The Bengals offensive line struggled week 1 against the Jets and the road doesn't get any easier going up against Von Miller in Week 3. The Broncos offensive line has been a pleasant surprise thus far, but I don't think this is a 3-0 team with Trevor Siemian at QB, even though he has shown some nice development week-to-week. Bengals in a squeaker.

 

BRONCOS 20 BENGALS 21

 

MINNESOTA (+7) at CAROLINA

Similar to the Detroit/Green Bay game, I think Carolina wins this game at home but Minnesota covers the spread. Everyone is making a huge fuss about Adrian Peterson being hurt, but he was making virtually zero impact for the Vikings offense this season anyway. I expect Stefon Diggs to have another big game this week going up against rookie CB James Bradberry, who looks like a world-beater on some plays and then on others looks like he just stepped out of a closet into Narnia. Look at Sam. Look at Sam. He is the captain now.

 

VIKINGS 24 PANTHERS 27

 

WASHINGTON (+4.5) at NEW YORK

OBJ vs. Josh Norman, the squeakquel. I literally cannot wait to see if Jay Gruden allows Norman to shadow Beckham this game and if either player pulls a shiv out of their sock and knifes the other in the ribs. But back to game analysis. If Kirk Cousins is missing open throws and can't find his receivers against Morris Claiborne and Brandon Carr, think of how tough a time he will have going against Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, Janoris Jenkins and Eli Apple. 

 

REDSKINS 17 GIANTS 25

 

LOS ANGELES (+5.5) at TAMPA BAY

The Rams are riding too high from their first home victory against Seattle and Tampa is pissed off that they were embarrassed by Arizona. I expect Jameis Winston to come out guns-a-blazing with Doug Martin being injured for the next 3 weeks and pick on Coty Sensabaugh. Oh, and the Rams still haven't scored a TD this year.

 

RAMS 6 BUCCANEERS 22

 

SAN FRANCISCO (+9) at SEATTLE

The Seahawks are banged up going into this game, but you have to think Russell Wilson and the Seahawks offense bounce back from a pedestrian Week 2 showing and put some points on the board this week. It's extremely hard for a good team to win in Seattle, let alone the 49ers.

 

49ERS 10 SEAHAWKS 28

 

NEW YORK (+3) at KANSAS CITY

I don't know what to think of this game. That's just me being honest. I have no analysis for you at this time.

 

JETS 20 CHIEFS 17

 

SAN DIEGO (+3) at INDIANAPOLIS

First Stevie Johnson, then Keenan Allen. Now, Antonio Gates? Philip Rivers might be cursed, but the good news is he's been doing this so long that he is numb to losing good players to injury. The Chargers are a nightmare match up for the Colts defense. Rivers gets the ball out of his hands so quickly and is so good at maneuvering in the pocket that the Colts anemic pass rush and lack of cornerbacks will end up hurting them. Also, the Chargers defense seems to be much improved and we may see the debut of Joey Bosa this week, who practiced in pads for the first time on Wednesday.

 

CHARGERS 28 COLTS 27

 

PITTSBURGH (-3.5) at PHILADELPHIA

I absolutely adore what I've seen from Doug Pederson and Carson Wentz so far through two weeks of the season. Early indications are that the Eagles may have their guy at QB, but this ain't exactly the Browns or the Bears that the rookie is playing this week. I predict Wentz throws his first interception this week and the Steelers offense finds a way to dissect the Eagles defense, which has been super disruptive under Jim Schwartz.

 

STEELERS 26 EAGLES 20

 

CHICAGO (+7) at DALLAS

Get the Bears off Prime Time. Jay Cutler is most likely out this week so it's going to be a bad Brian Hoyer against a bad Cowboys defense. I fully expect Ezekiel Elliott to run all over the Bears defense who lost Danny Trevathan to injury and Dak Prescott continues playing with the poise and confidence he has shown us for six weeks now.

 

BEARS 11 COWBOYS 21

 

ATLANTA (+3) at NEW ORLEANS

The Saints have gotten off to a rough start, but I don't see them losing at home to a Falcons team that only looks good every other week. Bad news for Atlanta is it's an odd week. On a positive note, if you own Julio Jones in fantasy, you have to be salivating over the match up this week against Sterling Moore and De'Vante Harris. We should see a lot of points in this one.

 

FALCONS 27 SAINTS 31

 

 

PICK 'EM RESULTS TRACKER

WEEK 1 - 8/16 (.500)

WEEK 2 - 7/16 (.438)

TOTAL - .468 AVG

 

All betting lines are from Bovada from ESPN.com.

 

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