NFL WEEKLY PICK 'EM: WEEK 9

November 3, 2016

We break the lines for each game for Week 9 of the 2016 NFL season below and offer our predictions.

 

ATLANTA (-4.5) at TAMPA BAY

It is going to be very difficult for the Bucs to rush on the Falcons, who are currently 12th in the NFL in rushing yards/attempt (4.0) on defense. Vic Beasley is coming on strong the last few weeks and currently tied for third in the NFL in sacks with 7.5, and he gets to go up against one of the poorer left tackles this season in Donovan Smith. I also see the Bucs defense, allowing 390 yards per game, struggling against the Falcons #1 offensive unit this week.

 

FALCONS 38 BUCCANEERS 24

 

PITTSBURGH (EVEN) at BALTIMORE

This all hangs on whether Big Ben is back in the mix or not for Pittsburgh. The Ravens are getting healthy at the right time as well with CJ Mosley and a handful of other players set to make a return this week, so this game could really be a toss up. I expect the Killer B's to take it and extend their lead in the AFC North.

 

STEELERS 25 RAVENS 21

 

DALLAS (-7.5) at CLEVELAND

I think this is a trap game for the Cowboys and I can totally see their players dismissing this Browns team and looking ahead towards their Week 10 match up against the Steelers. Add newly-acquired defender Jamie Collins and a healthy Corey Coleman into the mix and the Browns could have a recipe for an upset to avenge their beloved Indians. Although I still don't think Cleveland wins, I do think they cover.

 

COWBOYS 28 BROWNS 24

 

JACKSONVILLE (EVEN) at KANSAS CITY

Seriously? Did Vegas not watch Thursday Night Football last week? The wheels have fallen off the wagon in Duval and the Jaguars do not have leadership in the coaching staff to get this house back in order. Nick Foles and Charcandrick West are going to add more fuel to the Jaguars dumpster fire this week at Arrowhead, and the fans are going to start a revolution in the streets donning their new Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp hats.

 

JAGUARS 10 CHIEFS 27

 

NEW YORK (+3.5) at MIAMI

The Dolphins have the luxury this week of coming off of a bye. Hopefully Adam Gase and this offensive unit can implement some strong play action calls for this game because it's going to be next to impossible for Jay Ajayi to go for over 200 again on this Jets front 7. The Dolphins are going to have to attack through the air to get this division victory, and on defense, somehow be able to contain Matt Forte out of the backfield.

 

JETS 17 DOLPHINS 20

 

PHILADELPHIA (+3) at NEW YORK

I just don't see the Eagles dropping back-to-back games in the division, even if the game is being played at MetLife. Carson Wentz will come out conservatively like he has all year and limit his mistakes against an impressive Giants secondary, and on defense, Brandon Graham might give Ereck Flowers and Bobby Hart nightmares. I don't expect Eli Manning to have much time to go through his progressions on Sunday and the Giants don't boast a running game that can save him.

 

EAGLES 21 GIANTS 17

 

DETROIT (+6) at MINNESOTA

Very difficult game to assess. The Vikings are on a two game losing streak and have the worst set of offensive tackles the game has ever seen, but the swapping of Norv Turner for Pat Shurmur could give this offense and Sam Bradford the spark it so desperately needs. On the flip side, as good as their defense is playing, Matt Stafford is having a fantastic season, and if Jay Cutler can put points on this unit, you can sure bet that Matty Staff can. I'm going to go with Vikings winning at home because of Jim Caldwell doing something stupid, but the Lions covering the spread.

 

LIONS 25 VIKINGS 27

 

CAROLINA (-3) at LOS ANGELES

The Panthers need to feed off of their momentum after beating Arizona at home last week, but it's very difficult for east coast teams to go and play on the west coast, and the Rams have had a bye week to prepare. I expect the Rams defensive line to get a ton of pressure on an already battered Cam Newton and come away with a home win. If not, you could be looking at Goff time for Week 10.

 

PANTHERS 24 RAMS 27

 

NEW ORLEANS (EVEN) at SAN FRANCISCO

Could this be the week the 49ers get their second win of the season!? Nope. I don't care if New Orleans is on the road, this 49ers defense is allowing 407.6 yards per game and a staggering 5.1 yards per rushing attempt - good for dead last in the NFL. Somewhere, Drew Brees is eating his Jimmy John's sandwich and smiling.

 

SAINTS 35 49ERS 20

 

TENNESSEE (+5) at SAN DIEGO

The Titans will be riding high with an air of false confidence after beating a hapless Jaguars team on prime time and the Chargers, who are very good against the run since Joey Bosa returned, should be able to contain a not-100% Demarco Murray and Derrick Henry. Add that this game is on the west coast, and you have a recipe for a Chargers win.

 

TITANS 17 CHARGERS 27

 

INDIANAPOLIS (+7.5) at GREEN BAY

The Colts roster is so abysmal, having allowed a league-leading 31 sacks this season. I expect Nick Perry, Clay Matthews, and Julius Peppers to add to that tally and for a pissed-off Green Bay team to get revenge on a game last week against the Falcons that they most certainly feel slipped away from them. Aaron Rodgers is playing good football at the moment and adding that the game is at Lambeau should be all you need to know to make a logical choice.

 

COLTS 24 PACKERS 38

 

DENVER (EVEN) at OAKLAND

One of the NFL's best defenses square up against one of the NFL's best offenses on Sunday Night Football for the lead for the AFC West. Juicy. The only problem for Oakland is that their lack of discipline (NFL record amount of penalties last week) and lack of balance on the defensive side is going to stagger them this week.

 

BRONCOS 24 RAIDERS 23

 

BUFFALO (EVEN) at SEATTLE

At first I was shocked that the line for this game is even, but then I thought about it more. Russell Wilson hasn't thrown a TD in a month and the Bills defense, which leads the league in sacks, might absolutely annihilate George Fant(asy of being a football player) this porous Seahawks offensive line. Unfortunately, I'm not betting against the 12th man. Go Hawks.

 

BILLS 10 SEAHAWKS 17

 

 

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PICK 'EM RESULTS TRACKER

WEEK 1 - 8/16 (.500)

WEEK 2 - 7/16 (.438)

WEEK 3 - 5/16 (.313)

WEEK 7 - 10/15 (.750)

WEEK 8 - 6/12 (.500)

TOTAL - .480 AVG

 

All betting lines are from Bovada from ESPN.com.

 

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