INSIDE THE LINES: WEEK ELEVEN

November 15, 2018

 

 

Inside the Lines is a weekly feature on ScouTurf.com where we outline the NFL spreads, provide a short snippet of match up insight, and give final score predictions. We hope you took the easy money on last week's "Hot Play of the Week" of the Saints dismantling the Bengals, going 7-7 against the spread with a 79-69 (nice) record on the season.

 

All lines are from MyBookie as of the timestamp of this article. Please visit our disclaimer at the bottom of the page.

 

Green Bay Packers (+3) at Seattle Seahawks

Could not have whiffed more than we did on last night's TNF pick, actually picking the Panthers to win outright (sorrey). I don't feel much better about tonight's match up. The Packers are coming off a big win against the Dolphins where they covered the spread and Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy know that they can't afford to start slipping up games since they're behind both the Vikings and the Bears in the division, who play each other this week. If the Packers win and one of those two teams lose, it's a huge momentum swing for the Packers heading into the final quarter of the season. The only issue is that the Seahawks are no slouch this year and Pete Carroll has done an exceptional job with a roster that is being re-tooled right now and that 12s home field advantage is real. Still, can't bet against Rodgers and his agent that has never used the bathroom. That's some strong witchcraft.

Packers 27 Seahawks 24

 

Carolina Panthers (-5) at Detroit Lions

HOT PLAY OF THE WEEK

The Panthers got embarrassed in front of a national audience last week and there's no chance they they drop two in a row against the Lions. Detroit has finally found their solution in the run game with Kerryon Johnson, but the Panthers defense is averaging less than 100 yards per game and guard T.J. Lang has gone on IR with a neck injury. Stafford is also down some weapons in the passing game with Golden Tate shipped off to Philly and Marvin Jones dealing with some nicks and bruises. 

Panthers 34 Lions 24

 

Dallas Cowboys (+3) at Atlanta Falcons

The Cowboys turned some heads last week going into Philadelphia on prime time and surprising a division rival, but they are far too inconsistent to do it twice in a row. The Falcons play extremely well at home and their struggling defense gets their leader and quarterback Deion Jones back this week, which will be a huge boost. Dan Quinn knows his season is on life support with a slow start, and rest assured they will come out of the gates pissed off after dropping a sitter against the Browns last week.

Falcons 31 Cowboys 20

 

Tennessee Titans (+1.5) at Indianapolis Colts

No clue. Literally no earthly idea. The Titans have the best scoring defense in the NFL but the Colts have the best offensive line in the league (that feels weird to type), not even allowing a hand to touch Andrew Luck in the last four games. The Titans are extremely temperamental and have the ability to beat the Patriots one week and then lose to the Bills another. Basically picking the Colts just out of pure home field advantage and because I want to see chaos in the AFC South.

Colts 21 Titans 20

 

Houston Texans (-3.5) at Washington Redskins

Every time I pick the Redskins at home, they lose. So let's go the opposite direction purely because the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results. In all seriousness, this is an enormous game for both teams, who both currently sit atop their respective divisions with teams breathing down their necks. The Redskins' injuries to their offensive line are a huge issue against JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney, and Alex Smith just doesn't have the receiving weapons to catch up if the Texans take an early lead.

Texans 25 Redskins 17

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1.5) at New York Giants

HUGE GAME... for NFL Draft order implications. The Giants are probably feeling themselves a little bit after that late Monday Night Football win over the 49ers and it wouldn't be surprising to see them get the win at home against a Bucs team that Dirk Koetter is starting to lose his grip on. Jason Pierre-Paul should have a big game against his former team, but it might not be enough. I mean, who on the Bucs is going to cover OBJ?

Giants 23 Bucs 21

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Originally scheduled to be the Sunday Night Football game this week, thank goodness the powers that be flexed this. The Jaguars have been the most disappointing, underwhelming, insert negative adjective here team in the NFL this year and the wheels are coming off after losing five straight. But what about the magic of the series history? For some reason, the Jaguars have always had the Steelers' number since the dawn of time. No one knows why, but the Jags are Pittsburgh's kryptonite. That ends this year, though. Big Ben and company are going to take this personally, and the simple fact of the matter is Bortles won't be able to keep up pace in a shoot out.

Steelers 42 Jaguars 24

 

Oakland Raiders (+6) at Arizona Cardinals

Make your jokes about how terrible this game is, but the Cardinals have shown a new breath of life since Byron Leftwich took over as offensive coordinator. David Johnson is finally getting the touches that they're paying him for and Josh Rosen has shown steady improvement each week. Losing Justin Pugh to injured reserve hurts, but the Raiders pass rush is pedestrian, regardless of what Steve Wilks thinks. The Raiders are broken.

Cardinals 24 Raiders 13

 

Denver Broncos (+7) at Los Angeles Chargers

Does anyone actually believe Vance Joseph can go on the road and win against a red hot Chargers team challenging for the AFC West title? No. Does anyone believe the Broncos can cover +7? No. Does anyone believe Joseph is back next year? No.

Chargers 31 Broncos 17

 

Philadelphia Eagles (+9.5) at New Orleans Saints

The Saints are so hot right now, and the home field advantage only amplifies their dominance. The Eagles are no slouch and Terron Armstead being out should help Philly, but Brees gets the ball out of his hand so quickly that it probably won't matter. The Saints keep on reauxlling and destroying spreads, putting the defending Super Bowl champions in a big hole in the division.

Saints 38 Eagles 28

 

Minnesota Vikings (+2.5) at Chicago Bears

Huge game with enormous divisional implications. We could see a lot of shuffling in the NFC North depending on how Sunday goes. Mitchell Trubisky seems to be hitting his stride with Matt Nagy pulling the strings and a healthier Khalil Mack is not a great match up against the Minnesota tackles if you're a Vikings fan. Bears home field advantage will help, but this game should come down to the final possession. 

Bears 24 Vikings 21

 

Kansas City Chiefs (+3) at Los Angeles Rams

Super Bowl preview? I hope so. The game could have been complete chaos at Estadio Azteca, and it's kind of a bummer that it was moved to Los Angeles this week. With all the shuffling, however, this probably won't be a typical home game for the Rams which should level out the home field advantage. This will be a huge game for the development of Pat Mahomes and seeing exactly how far along the young quarterback is. 

Chiefs 35 Rams 34

 

 

3 TEAM PARLAY: PANTHERS -5, FALCONS -3, STEELERS -6

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