INSIDE THE LINES: WEEK THIRTEEN

November 29, 2018

 

 

Inside the Lines is a weekly feature on ScouTurf.com where we outline the NFL spreads, provide a short snippet of match up insight, and give final score predictions. All lines are from MyBookie as of the timestamp of this article. Please visit our disclaimer at the bottom of the page.

 

Last week was solid as we went 8-6 against the spread after hitting our hot play of the week and 2/3 for the parlay (thanks, Steelers), parking us at a 90-81 record on the season. Here's what we got for Week 13:

 

New Orleans Saints (-8) at Dallas Cowboys

Do. Not. Bet. Against. Drew. Brees. I've been betting on the Saints all year and making money - until last week, when I thought a Falcons offense would cover a wide 13.5 spread, ruining my turkey day parlay. I'm not betting against the Saints until they slip up, and you shouldn't either!

Saints 38 Cowboys 21

 

Indianapolis Colts (-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

HOT PLAY OF THE WEEK

I almost snapped my neck with how quickly I placed Colts -5 (it was actually -4 at the time). The element of surprise with a new quarterback with limited film like Cody Kessler is always concerning, but the Jaguars are down 3/5 starting offensive linemen, Leonard Fournette is suspended, and Jalen Ramsey is leaning towards not playing on Sunday. The Jaguars are fully in evaluation mode for 2019 and giving new play caller Scott Milanovich only a week to prepare is borderline cruel.

Colts 27 Jaguars 13

 

Carolina Panthers (-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Panthers have to stop their losing skid at some point, right? The Bucs are actually giving free tickets away to this game, which shows you how the season has gone for them. The Panthers know if they drop this one, their playoff chances dwindle immensely, so expect them to play like a dog with its back against the wall. 

Panthers 27 Buccaneers 17

 

Baltimore Ravens (+1) at Atlanta Falcons

ALL ABOARD THE UNDEFEATED LAMAR JACKSON TRAIN! CHOO CHOO!

Ravens 26 Falcons 21

 

Cleveland Browns (+6) at Houston Texans

The Texans haven't lost a game since September, and that kind of sorcery has to run out at some point. It's totally conceivable that the Texans overlook the Browns at home and a well-prepared Baker Mayfield, who has been on fire under Freddie Kitchens lately, sticks it to them. The Browns defense has enough attitude and talent to at least slow down the Texans' skill weapons, and Myles Garrett should feast against the Bucknell left tackle.

Browns 27 Texans 24

 

Buffalo Bills (+4) at Miami Dolphins

Josh Allen showed a lot of toughness last week against the Jaguars, hanging firm in the pocket under pressure to deliver some strikes and moving the ball with his legs. The Dolphins are a better team right now and very well could win, but the Bills should cover +4.

Dolphins 24 Bills 21

 

Denver Broncos (-5) at Cincinnati Bengals

Jeff Driskel szn? No, thank you. Broncos ride the momentum from a few nice wins against much better teams and dismantle the Bengals.

Broncos 30 Bengals 14

 

Los Angeles Rams (-10) at Detroit Lions

The Lions have gone through some adversity in their first season under head coach Matt Patricia. Practicing outside in the frigid cold when their upcoming game is in a dome, asking media to sit upright in press conferences, it's safe to say things are getting weird in Detroit. Unfortunately for the Lions sans Marvin Jones, they have the red hot Rams this week. Rams win big.

Rams 35 Lions 17

 

Arizona Cardinals (+14) at Green Bay Packers

Don't bet against the Packers at Lambeau! Especially when it's against a bad team with a rookie quarterback.

Packers 27 Cardinals 10

 

Kansas City Chiefs (-15.5) at Oakland Raiders

Geez, the spreads are huge this week. And they're not big enough! Chiefs use that bye week to their advantage and Pat Mahomes obliterates Jon Gruden's old and slow Raiders defense this week.

Chiefs 38 Raiders 16

 

New York Jets (+7.5) at Tennessee Titans

The Jets have been spiraling out of control lately, but 7.5 is a bit generous considering the Titans are coming off a short week having played on Monday Night. Could this be the game that Todd Bowles gets the hook?

Titans 22 Jets 17

 

Minnesota Vikings (+6) at New England Patriots

Tough to play in New England in December, but these Vikings players are used to cold weather living in Minnesota. The Vikings are too talented on both offense and defense to be a six point dog this week. Don't be surprised if they even win outright.

Patriots 28 Vikings 24

 

San Francisco 49ers (+10.5) at Seattle Seahawks

How's this for the twilight zone? The Seattle Seahawks lead the NFL in rushing under Brian Schottenheimer. With this being said, expect Seattle to run the ball right down the 49ers throat this weekend in Seattle as they continue to push for a wild card spot. 

Seahawks 31 49ers 9

 

Los Angeles Chargers (+3) at Pittsburgh Steelers

I'm going to kick back with a glass of Jack Daniels and enjoy this one on Sunday night. With both quarterbacks well into their late 30s, who knows when the next time we'll see Big Ben vs. Phillip Rivers again? I'm not placing on this game because it's too close to call in my opinion, but the status of Melvin Gordon makes me lean towards Pittsburgh at home.

Steelers 28 Chargers 24

 

Washington Redskins (+6.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

The Redskins are on the precipice of collapsing this season thanks to all the injuries. It's really unreal when you think about. Starting rookie RB in preseason, quarterback, both starting guards is really difficult to overcome for an offense. Do you really think Colt McCoy can get within a touchdown on the road against the Super Bowl champions? I do not!

Eagles 17 Redskins 10

 

3 TEAM PARLAY: COLTS -5, SAINTS +8, BROWNS +6

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