INSIDE THE LINES: WEEK FOURTEEN

December 6, 2018

 

 

Inside the Lines is a weekly feature on ScouTurf.com where we outline the NFL spreads, provide a short snippet of match up insight, and give final score predictions. All lines are from MyBookie as of the timestamp of this article. Please visit our disclaimer at the bottom of the page.

 

Last week was our first in almost six week with a sub-.500 record as we went 6-8 against the spread with one push (Bills), landing us at a 96-89 record on the season. Here's what we got as we try to bounce back for Week 14:

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+5.5) at Tennessee Titans

Is it weird that I think the Jaguars cover this spread? The secondary was suffocating last week since benching Barry Church for rookie third rounder Ronnie Harrison and the Titans are extremely banged up on offense. The Titans offensive line has been undergoing a reshuffling the last few weeks and the Jaguars should have success, although they struggle against mobile QBs like Mariota. The advantage of the unknown may have waned with a week under the belts of Cody Kessler and Scott Milanovich, but it's not like they performed well in their debut and they still found a way to win. This week, they'll have Leonard Fournette to lean on. Titans may very well win, but I'm feeling a Jags backdoor cover tonight.

Titans 12 Jaguars 10

 

Baltimore Ravens (+7) at Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs still managed to take care of business last week after the crazy week surrounding Kareem Hunt, and the game is at Arrowhead, which is always alarming. With that said, I'm still waiting for Pat Mahomes to have that humbling game where he doesn't struggle per-say, but doesn't put up the Madden numbers he has had all season. If it's going to happen, it's this week against the Ravens unit that leads the NFL in a lot of categories. On the other side, Lamar Jackson's scrambling ability may give an underwhelming Chiefs defense some fits. I'm actually going to take the Ravens outright in my bold upset of the week, and I have a feeling I will regret it!

Ravens 24 Chiefs 21

 

Indianapolis Colts (+5) at Houston Texans

The last time these teams played in Indianapolis, Colts coach Frank Reich gambled in overtime in a decision that may cost the Colts a wild card spot when all is said and done. The Texans are the hottest team in the NFL right now with their lengthy win streak, but I think it comes to an end this week as Andrew Luck and company look to bounce back from an embarrassing shut out against the Jaguars and keep their wild card hopes alive. 

Colts 28 Texans 27

 

Carolina Panthers (-1.5) at Cleveland Browns

The Browns burned me last week and I'm still bitter about it. With that said, I'm having a tough time seeing my guy Baker lose two in a row, especially with this game in Cleveland in front of his home crowd. The Panthers are spiraling out of control after initially looking like a playoff lock and it seems like Cam Newton has lost some of his magic as the season has progressed. The Week 14 upset tour continues!

Browns 27 Panthers 21

 

Atlanta Falcons (+5) at Green Bay Packers

HOT PLAY OF THE WEEK

Can the firing of Mike McCarthy provide a jolt for the Packers this week at home? I'm hoping so, for my wallet's sake. The Falcons don't have much to play for (besides Dan Quinn, who may be on shaky ground depending on how they finish), and at this point, they are slowly creeping up into Ed Oliver range for the draft. I believe Rodgers will take this game personally and try to make a statement that McCarthy was holding him back. He's petty like that and I'm very much here for it.

Packers 30 Falcons 17

 

New Orleans Saints (-9) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Cowboys made Drew Brees look mortal last week with their young stud linebackers, but make no mistake about it - the Bucs defense is nowhere near the Cowboys. Add in the fact that the Bucs already won against the Saints earlier in the year and Sean Payton will pull out all the stops to prove that it was a total fluke. Saints bounce back and win big.

Saints 35 Buccaneers 24

 

New York Jets (+3.5) at Buffalo Bills

We have a rookie showcase in Buffalo this week with Darnold vs. Allen, and my advantage goes to Josh. Darnold is likely going to have some rust on him after missing the last few weeks with injury and that Bills defense is nothing to scoff at. Add in the home field advantage and the extra confidence Allen is starting to play with, and this could be a Bowles fate-sealer. The Bills offense may actually end up being more dangerous with Kelvin Benjamin shipped out of town.

Bills 24 Jets 13

 

New England Patriots (-8) at Miami Dolphins

The Patriots have largely taken care of business all year long, but Tom Brady usually doesn't bring his best game with him down to Miami. The Dolphins are fighting to stay relevant in the playoff hunt and Ryan Tannehill's presence in the lineup has at least seemed to stabilize the offense. Pats win this, but the Dolphins cover late in the witching hour.

Patriots 28 Dolphins 21

 

New York Giants (-3.5) at Washington Redskins

The Giants are finally looking like they are starting to somewhat click on offense. It wasn't pretty for Eli last week in Chicago, but they still managed to get the win using Saquon Barkley's legs and Odell Beckham's arm. This game is less about the Giants' prowess, however, and more about the Redskins losing their entire offense to injury. There's just no way Mark Sanchez with no offensive guards can get the job done against this Giants team this week.

Giants 26 Redskins 16

 

Cincinnati Bengals (+14.5) at Los Angeles Chargers

No Andy Dalton and no AJ Green on offense. Bottom five in the NFL on defense. Does this sound like a recipe that inspires hope for Bengals fans? The Chargers win big at home and make things very interesting in the AFC West race, especially if the Ravens sneak a win against the Chiefs this week.

Chargers 35 Bengals 10

 

Denver Broncos (-6) at San Francisco 49ers

The Broncos have been dealt huge injury blows on both sides of the ball losing WR Emmanuel Sanders and CB Chris Harris, but they should still have enough talent on both sides of the ball to come out on top in a must-win game to stay alive for the playoffs. With this said, don't be surprised if the 49ers find a way to cover in this game. 

Broncos 21 49ers 17

 

Detroit Lions (-3) at Arizona Cardinals

I'm not touching this. It's too wild. 

Cardinals 18 Lions 14

 

Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) at Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys defense is on absolute FIRE right now. Hot Boyz defensive line is straight sparking LBs Jaylon Smith and Leighton Vander Esch, and Byron Jones and Chido Awuzie are making life difficult for WRs. On offense, Amari Cooper should have his way against an Eagles secondary plagued by injury. When you also consider the Eagles haven't won back to back game this year, Cowboys win and take the driver's set in the NFC East into the playoffs.

Cowboys 24 Eagles 20

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (-10.5) at Oakland Raiders

Give Gruden some credit lately, as he's got his unit playing hard and actually challenging. Tight end Jared Cook has been playing out of his mind and the soon-to-be free agent should be heavily considered for a contract extension. As much vigor as they've shown as of late, it's still the Steelers this week and they should handle the Raiders pretty handily even without James Conner in the lineup. 

Steelers 35 Raiders 17

 

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at Chicago Bears

This game is interesting! I can totally see the Rams going up to the frigid Windy City and struggling to move the ball against our top ranked defense. Mitch Trubisky is back in the lineup, so the offense should start to resemble what it was looking like before Mitch got hurt. I'm not going to place on this game because I just don't have a great feeling about it, but man am I excited to watch it. Let's go with Bears +3.5. 

Rams 27 Bears 24

 

Minnesota Vikings (+3.5) at Seattle Seahawks

Vikings need to win this game, but then again, so do the Seahawks. Seattle has the home field advantage, which is concerning, but I see the Vikings bouncing back from a bad loss in New England last week and keeping their wild card hopes alive. 

Vikings 28 Seahawks 27

 

3 TEAM PARLAY: PACKERS -5, BILLS -3.5, CHARGERS -14.5

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