Inside the Lines is a weekly feature where we outline the NFL spreads, provide a short snippet of match up insight, and give final score predictions.
All lines are from MyBookie as of the timestamp of this article. Please visit our disclaimer at the bottom of the page.
Last week was our worst week ever. Really just shocking stuff, and immensely disappointing as were hoping to finish this fourth quarter off strong and the season above .500 on our picks. Overall, we went 4-12 against the spread, landing us at a 110-107 record on the season. Here's what we got as we try to bounce back in Week 16:
Washington Redskins (+10) at Tennessee Titans
Two teams with everything to play for, but only one of those teams have a functioning quarterback. Titans should roll the Redskins at home and give themselves a great shot of earning a playoff birth in a potential winner take all Week 17 battle with the Indianapolis Colts. Because this game is on Saturday, a Titans win can put an immense amount of pressure on the Colts to win on Sunday.
Titans 24 Redskins 13
Baltimore Ravens (+4) at Los Angeles Chargers
Huge implications for both teams and a treat for Saturday night. The Chargers are vying for an AFC West division title and a first round bye while the Ravens are scratching and fighting for the last playoff spot in the AFC. I just don't see Lamar Jackson having a ton of success against the Chargers defense and Derwin James' physicality against the run and pass should rain on the Ravens parade. Chargers has the veteran experience of Phillip Rivers and a potentially returning Melvin Gordon to take the wind out of the Ravens' defense sails.
Chargers 27 Ravens 20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7) at Dallas Cowboys
The Bucs offense should struggle mightily against the Cowboys' defense at home and you better believe the Cowboys offense will be motivated after getting shut out by the Indianapolis Colts last week. Can they cover is the question...
Cowboys 31 Bucs 13
Buffalo Bills (+13.5) at New England Patriots
I know it is New England at home in December but 14 points is.... steep. The Pats are looking old and stale with two consecutive losses and while it's very unlikely the Bills win this game, I do imagine it will be closer than a 14-point games. Factor in the news of Josh Gordon being suspended this week, possibly for good, and the Bills should use Josh Allen's legs to give the Pats defense fits.
Patriots 28 Bills 17
Atlanta Falcons (-4) at Carolina Panthers
How is this line only 4 points with no Cam Newton? Do we really think Taylor Heinicke is going to get the Panthers with one score? Get out of here. Parlay.
Falcons 24 Panthers 17
Jacksonville Jaguars (+4) at Miami Dolphins
HOT PLAY OF THE WEEK
Vegas really can't get the Jags' line right. 7 point home dogs last week at home against the Redskins was too wild, and 4 points on the road against Miami this week is too narrow. Jacksonville can't move the football on offense since firing Nathaniel Hackett and promoted Cody Kessler and have only one touchdown in three games. The Dolphins defense allows 145 rushing yards per game this season, but it sounds like Leonard Fournette is in the dog house (again) so I wouldn't worry too much about that.
Dolphins 24 Jaguars 13
New York Giants (+9) at Indianapolis Colts
The Giants have been playing much better lately, but the Colts at home will be too tough a task with no Odell Beckham Jr. Colts keep rolling.
Colts 35 Giants 10
Houston Texans (+1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
Houston has a real chance of earning a first round bye and home field advantage in the AFC, and that means taking the playoff fates out of New England's hand through Gillette Stadium in January. That's huge. The Eagles also have some serious momentum after sniping an unlikely win against the Los Angeles Rams last week, so this will be a tough game to get a pulse on. When it's close, go with the home team.
Eagles 24 Texans 21
Minnesota Vikings (-6) at Detroit Lions
Vikings have everything to play for and the Lions are in 2019 evaluation mode. Since the firing of John DeFilippo, the Vikings run game has come alive and that should open up the pass attack for Cousins, Diggs, and Thielen against a paltry Lions pass defense.
Vikings 27 Lions 17
Green Bay Packers (-3) at New York Jets
Upset pick! Give me Darnold and the Jets at home against a wounded Packers team led by the ghost of Joe Philbin.
Jets 23 Packers 21
Cincinnati Bengals (+9) at Cleveland Browns
When is the last time the Browns were +9 in an NFL game? It's valid against a cooked Bengals team. Baker Mayfield is going to put on a show in his final home game in front of the Cleveland fans and Freddie Kitchens will continue to prove he deserves to stay on staff for the next head coach.
Browns 30 Bengals 10
Los Angeles Rams (-14) at Arizona Cardinals
What is going on with the Rams? Jared Goff turned into a pumpkin the last two weeks and this isn't the type of steam they wanted to charge into the playoffs with. The Cardinals are terrible and Steve Wilks may be one and done, but I wouldn't be surprised if they found a way to barely cover the spread at home this week.
Rams 28 Cardinals 17
Chicago Bears (-4.5) at San Francisco 49ers
The Bears will be without defensive player of the year candidate Eddie Jackson and the 49ers are better than their record indicates. It's still a stretch they pull off a win despite being at home, but I don't see this game being a route.
Bears 25 49ers 18
Pittsburgh Steelers (+6) at New Orleans Saints
Whew buddy. I'm not touching this one with my own money. The Saints are a nasty proposition at home but seem to be in a slump lately offensively, and the doubtful injury status for James Conner doesn't help the Steelers case very much against the top rushing defense in the NFL. Saints defensive end Cam Jordan also had some bulletin board material this week saying Big Ben was overrated.
Saints 24 Steelers 16
Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at Seattle Seahawks
This is going to be a tough test for Patrick Mahomes in Seattle, but he should answer the call. The Chiefs defense seems to have gotten a little spark with the return of Eric Berry last week, but there is too much on the line for the Chiefs from an Arrowhead home field advantage perspective to lose this one.
Chiefs 27 Seahawks 24
Denver Broncos (-3) at Oakland Raiders
Final game in Oakland on Monday Night Football for the nostalgic Jon Gruden against a damaged Broncos team. The analytics say Phillip Lindsay should run all over the Raiders worst-ranked run defense, but this has the feeling of a potential upset.
Raiders 17 Broncos 14
3 TEAM PARLAY: FALCONS -4, JAGUARS +4, RAIDERS +3
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