INSIDE THE LINES: WEEK SIX

October 10, 2018

 

 

Inside the Lines is a weekly feature on ScouTurf.com where we outline the NFL spreads, provide a short snippet of match up insight, and give final score predictions. Last week, we went 7-8 against the spread with a 36-42 record on the season.

 

All lines are from Westgate as of the timestamp of this article. Please visit our disclaimer at the bottom of the page.

 

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) at New York Giants

The NFC East is a mess right now and they keep cannibalizing each other. No team has a winning record, and as much as I want to pick the Eagles, they've burned me almost every time this season. The Eagles offense just doesn't look the same since the departures of Frank Reich and John DeFilippo and losing Jay Ajayi this week to an ACL injury further limits them. With that being said, the Eagles defensive line is just too good for this Giants offensive line to overcome, and Eli Manning should make plenty of mistakes under pressure. 

Eagles 28 Giants 24

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) at Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons have been an offensive juggernaut over the past few weeks and Bucs defensive coordinator Mike Smith has his unit playing like a wet paper towel. Add in the fact that the Falcons are playing at home, and Matt Ryan and his receivers should absolutely carve up the Bucs for at least 30 points this week. The one wildcard is the return of Jameis Winston, who knows he is almost at the end of his road and must perform over the remainder of the season.

Falcons 31 Bucs 17

 

Carolina Panthers (+1) at Washington Redskins

Knee-jerk reaction form the Redskins' debacle on Monday Night Football this past week might have some people panicking, but Alex Smith is not as bad as his play suggests and they should bounce back this week at home against Carolina. I expect Da'Ron Payne and Jonathan Allen to get some good interior pressure on Cam Newton and move him off his spot and cause him to make some mistakes. A major storyline of this game would be Josh Norman playing against his old team, but he's had a rough week after being benched, bullied on social media by Michael Thomas, and called out for being in love with being a celebrity by former teammate Deangelo Hall. I imagine he's been putting in some extra work this week to reverse the negative stigma around him.

Redskins 27 Panthers 24

 

Seattle Seahawks (-3) at Oakland Raiders

Gruden is already whining in the media about having to make the trip overseas to play the Seahawks in London this week. If that's the attitude of your head coach, how could this not permeate throughout the entire team and make them look at this entire sojourn as a chore? The Raiders pass rush is anemic right now, so Seattle's underwhelming offensive line shouldn't have too much of an issue. Honestly, it's just a poor match up for the Raiders, regardless of where the game is played.

Seahawks 27 Raiders 10

 

Indianapolis Colts (+2.5) at New York Jets

I actually have the Colts winning this game outright. Darnold has been up and down so far this year and the Colts defense is averaging only 4.0 yards per rush and should be getting their impressive rookie linebacker Darius Leonard back this week. I expect Andrew Luck to keep plays alive and take what's available to him, and this could be a huge game for rookie offensive weapon Nyheim Hines. 

Colts 26 Jets 16

 

Arizona Cardinals (+10.5) at Minnesota Vikings

I was going to say that there is no way that the 1-4 Cardinals with a rookie quarterback walk into Minneapolis and get a win, and then I got deja vu from writing the same thing about the Buffalo Bills who ended up with a shocking upset win. The Cardinals do have Patrick Peterson at cornerback to neutralize at least one of Adam Thielen/Stefon Diggs, and Bene Benwikere has also played some good football this year. I still don't think that the Cardinals will win, but it's totally conceivable that they cover an enormous 10.5 point spread. 

Vikings 27 Cardinals 20

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

The AFC North is starting to heat up, and this match up between the Bengals and the Steelers is as spicy as it gets. Andy Dalton and the Bengals offense are finding a way to get it done and should be able to move the ball against the Steelers' 29th-ranked passing defense. On the other side, the Bengals should find a way to get a couple of turnovers from Big Ben, who is kind of just doing whatever he wants at this stage of his career. The Bengals know that they could ride their momentum to take an enormous lead in the NFL with a 5-1 record and will likely pull out all the stops to get this win. I hope you bet the over.

Bengals 36 Steelers 31

 

Los Angeles Chargers (-1) at Cleveland Browns

The Browns have been good to me so far this season whenever I've picked them, and I have a good feeling at home against the Chargers. The Browns' dominant defense will be a terrific match up for veteran quarterback Phillip Rivers and this could be the game we really see Baker Mayfield take reigns of this offense and move the football. Browns win another game in overtime this week.

Browns 23 Chargers 20

 

Buffalo Bills (+1) at Houston Texans

I, ugh, yuck. This game stinks, despite both clubs having 2-3 records. The Texans do seem to be coming alive on defense in the past few weeks, but the health of Deshaun Watson is a serious question, as playing through a chest (likely rib?) injury is tough for a quarterback with a sieve of an offensive line. The Bills surprised the Titans last week, but being on the road should hurt them this time around.

Texans 27 Bills 13

 

Chicago Bears (-3) at Miami Dolphins

We all know how dominant the Bears defense has been so far this season, but did their offense finally wake up to match the defense's production? Matt Nagy and his squad were on a bye last week after a six touchdown Mitchell Trubisky week four performance against the Bucs, so I expect them to come out swinging in this one with the extra week of preparation. This should be another long day at the office for Ryan Tannehill.

Bears 27 Dolphins 13

 

Los Angeles Rams (-7) at Denver Broncos

Wade Phillips revenge game and I bet Aqib Talib wishes he could suit up for this one as well. The Broncos are in a three game slide and it's unlikely that it stops this week against the best team in the NFL through five weeks. Jared Goff may not have eye-popping numbers this week, but Todd Gurley should be licking his chops about playing a defense that allowed a 200-yard rusher last week in Isaiah Crowell.

Rams 35 Broncos 21

 

Baltimore Ravens (-3) at Tennessee Titans

The Tennessee Titans have won games they weren't supposed to so far this season and dropped games that should have been easy wins. With that pattern in mind, they should squeak a win at home against the Baltimore Ravens, who will be reeling after a tough loss last week against the Cleveland Browns. Titans defensive coordinator will have the entire book on the Ravens, who he coached for last season, and I expect Mike Vrabel to take advantage of that extra intel. Regardless, the loser of this game will likely feel this one when it comes to the final few weeks of the season and the fight for a potential division or wild card spot.

Titans 15 Ravens 12

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) at Dallas Cowboys

The Jaguars are 8-1 under Doug Marrone with a +1 million point differential following a loss. The Cowboys have a worse record at home than they do away since they moved into Jerry World. The defense will likely be looking to make some heads roll after last week's match up against Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs and going up against an offense that has largely inept in its play calling and overly-reliant on their running back Ezekiel Elliott is exactly what the doctor ordered. The only X-factor to how the Cowboys can win this game is injuries along the Jaguars offensive line that will force them to line up guard Josh Walker at left tackle this week.

Jaguars 24 Cowboys 10

 

Kansas City Chiefs (+3.5) at New England Patriots

What a sexy Sunday Night Football show down this week. Undefeated world beater offense under Patrick Mahomes against the best to ever do it in Tom Brady. This game is going to be crucial when it comes to deciding home-field advantage for the AFC, but does New England have the speed on defense to keep up with the Chiefs' offensive weapons? Probably not, but the Chiefs defense is likewise going to struggle against a Pats offense that has some reinforcements in Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon. Can't wait for this one. 

Patriots 35 Chiefs 34

 

San Francisco 49ers (+9.5) at Green Bay Packers

It's such a bummer that handsome Jimmy got hurt because this game is a stinker. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers will be playing with some extra vigor this week after losing against division rival Detroit Lions last week courtesy of 13 dropped points from kicker Mason Crosby and the 49ers don't have much to offer on offense to go blow-for-blow thanks to injuries. 

Packers 31 49ers 13

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